TECHNOLOGIES FOR RESOLVING MODERN INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS IN THE POST-SOVIET SPACE: THE MOLDOVAN EXPERIENCE FOR UKRAINE

Authors

  • Yana Yaroshenko Dnipropetrovsk Alfred Nobel University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29038/2524-2679-2022-02-115-131

Keywords:

Transnistrian conflict, international conflict, Republic of Moldova, security, international mediation, negotiations

Abstract

The article presents an analysis of attempts to resolve the Transnistrian conflict of 1992-2019. The main approaches and technologies are described and it is determined what goals have been achieved within their framework. The main projects for resolving the situation are described - the Agreement on the Principles of Peaceful Settlement of the Armed Conflict in the Transnistrian Region, the Memorandum on the Principles of Normalization of Relations between the Republic of Moldova and Transnistria, the Kozak memorandum, and the Big Package for Moldova.

The Transnistrian conflict, during its existence and attempts to resolve it, has demonstrated the wide variety of negotiation formats described in the article. The activities of international mediators, in particular the OSCE, are described. The dependence of the course and structure of the negotiation process on the political and geopolitical situation is shown. The created negotiating platforms were analyzed, such as: the Joint Control Commission (JCC), the Standing Meeting on Political Issues within the Negotiation Process on the Transnistrian Settlement, the Bavarian Conference, and the Mezeberg Initiative.

The result of the work of these sites in the work is determined by the collapse of the conflict, the cessation of the acute phase of the confrontation and its "freezing".

Particular attention is paid to the factors that led to the success of the communication and negotiation phases in the conflict resolution process, namely: the formation of clear principles for negotiations, the use of the "three baskets" model and the strategy of "small steps".

The conclusions emphasize that the course and structure of the negotiation process largely depends on the political and geopolitical situation, considering these types of conflict with opposing views of the conflict sides, to resolve and solve the conflict isn’t common, but  to "freeze", or postponement of the final decision indefinitely is. "Shuttle" and "conference" diplomacy have shown their limited effectiveness for such conflicts, with opposing views on the situation of the immediate parties.

References

Lossovskyi, I. Ye. (2021). Transnistrian settlement: Ukraine's contribution and expe- rience for deoccupation of Donbass. Stratehichna Panorama, № 1–2, 48–64 (in Ukrainian).

Prokhorova, V. H. (2018). Transnistrian conflict and the conflict in eastern Ukraine: an analysis of common features. Sotsialno-politychni studii: nauk. almanakh, № 2, 24–28 (in Ukrainian).

Prondzynska, K. M. S. (2016). Causes of the conflict in the South-East of Ukraine: the question of the relationship between internal and external factors. Visnyk Mariupolskoho derzhavnoho universytetu. Seriia: Istoriia. Politolohiia, vyp. 17, 241–248 (in Ukrainian).

Hridina, I. M. (2017). The role of international organizations in resolving the conflict in eastern Ukraine: potentials and realities. Visnyk Mariupolskoho derzhavnoho universyte- tu. Seriia: Istoriia. Politolohiia, vyp. 18, 215–224 (in Ukrainian).

Ilnytska, U. V. (2016). Germany's foreign policy strategy in shaping the European security and defense system and resolving the conflict in eastern Ukraine. Visnyk Mari- upolskoho derzhavnoho universytetu. Seriia: Istoriia. Politolohiia, vyp. 17, 143–152 (in Ukrainian).

Zvezdova, O. O. (2018). Potential options for the development of conflicts around de facto states in the post-Soviet space. Visnyk Mariupolskoho derzhavnoho universytetu. Seriia: Istoriia. Politolohiia, № 2, 158–166 (in Ukrainian).

Zelmanovych, I. I. (2016). «Frozen» conflicts as an instrument of geopolitical con- frontation. Visnyk Mariupolskoho derzhavnoho universytetu. Seriia: Istoriia. Politolohiia, vyp. 17, 129–135 (in Ukrainian).

Artomov, I. (2020). Minsk agreements, their consequences and significance for Ukraine. Heopolityka Ukrainy: istoriia i suchasnist: zb. nauk. pr., vyp. 1 (24), 41–53 (in Ukrainian).

Matviienkiv, S., Holovchynskyi, N. (2019). The war in eastern Ukraine: the course, features and ways of ending. Susp.-polit. ta psykholoh. studii: zb. nauk. pr. Zhytomyr; Var- shava: In-t sotsiolohii Varshav. un-tu, Zhytomyr. derzh. un-t im. Ivana Franka, vyp. 3, 52–58 (in Ukrainian).

Fylypenko, A. (2018). The Transnistrian conflict of 1992 and the Russian aggres- sion against Ukraine: a comparative analysis. Istoryko-politychni problemy suchasnoho svi- tu, t. 37–38, 73–80 (in Ukrainian).

Perepelytsa, H. N. (2001). The Transnistrian conflict: causes, problems and prog- nosis. Kyev: Stylos (in Ukrainian).

Transnistrian problem: a view from Ukraine. (2009). Kyiv: Istyna (in Ukrainian).

Alieksieichenko, O. V. Participation of the Russian Federation in the Transnistrian settlement. URL: http://vmv.kymu.edu.ua/series/vipusk8/16.pdf (in Ukrainian).

Plaksenko, M. L. (2008). Russia's role and interests in resolving the Transnistrian conflict. Stratehichni priorytety, № 3 (8), 233 – 239. (in Ukrainian)

Horielov, V., Klymenko, V., Derikot, O., Kydon, V. (2021). «Frozen» conflicts in Russian geopolitics: history and reality for Ukraine (1991–2020 rr.). Voienno-istorychnyi visnyk, № 2, 99–110 (in Ukrainian).

de Waal. T., von Twickel. N. (2020). Beyond frozen conflict. Scenarios for the sepa- ratist disputes of eastern Europe, Brussels: Center for European Policy Studies (in English).

Azar. E. (1986). Protracted International Conflict: Ten Propositions, International Conflict Resolution, London: Wheatsheaf Books, 27–39 (in English).

Kriesberg, L. (1993). Intractable Conflicts, Peace Review, vol. 5, № 4, 417–421 (in English).

Goertz, G., Diehl, P. F. (1995). The Initiation and Termination of Enduring Rival- ries: The Impact of Political Shocks. American Journal of Political Science, vol. 39, № 1, 30–52 (in English).

Report №13 by the CSCE Mission to Moldova 13 November 1993. URL: https:// www.osce.org/files/f/documents/4/b/42307.pdf (in English).

Memorandum (Meeting of Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Dmitri Medve- dev on 4–5 June 2010 in Meseberg) (2010). URL: https://russiaeu.ru/sites/default/files/user/ files/2010-06-05-meseberg-memorandum.pdf (in English).

Minutes of the formal meeting of the Standing Meeting on Political Issues in the Negotiation Process for the Transnistrian Settlement, 2016. URL: https://www.osce.org/ru/ moldova/244681 (in Ukrainian).

Shibel, V. (2009). Peacekeeping process: methodological aspects of research. Poli- tychnyi menedzhment, № 6 (39), 149–156 (in Ukrainian).

Published

2022-06-28