THE IMPACT OF NATO’S EASTWARD ENLARGEMENT ON THE DETERIORATION OF THE WEST-RUSSIA RELATIONSHIP
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29038/2524-2679-2024-01-27-38Keywords:
NATO, NATO enlargement, United States, Russia, geopolitics, political idealism, political realism, balance of power, spheres of interest, spheres of influenceAbstract
2019 can be considered a symbolic year for the North Atlantic Treaty Organi- zation. On the one hand, the longest-lasting military-political block of modern times celebrated its seventieth anniversary; on the other hand, this circular date coincided with the thirtieth anniversary of the fall of the Iron Curtain. Indeed, the North Atlantic Alliance had something to be proud of: it managed not only to survive its geopolitical visage of the Cold War era – the Soviet Union – but also to accept new countries that were either part of the USSR or were in its sphere of influence. But it would be inappropriate to claim that the post-Cold War period has been an “easy walk” for NATO. Of course, there was an expan- sion of “Pax Atlantica” due to the entry of countries that were on the other side of the “Iron Curtain”. It is noteworthy, however, that precisely this step is often seen as one of the reasons for the gradual deterioration of relations between the West and the Russian Federation. Assessing the impact of the post-bipolar ex- pansion of the North Atlantic Alliance on the deterioration of relations between the West and the Russian Federation largely depends on the specific framework applied. On the one hand, political idealists see the NATO enlargement as the realization of each states’ natural right to choose its own foreign policy: in the end, the states of the former “socialist camp” themselves opted for Euro-At- lantic integration. On the other hand, supporters of political realism, for whom the balance of power and spheres of influence remain the main determinants of international relations, consider the enlargement of NATO to be a tool for asserting the U.S. global dominance after the collapse of the USSR. Some rea- lists argue that the post-bipolar enlargement of NATO, allegedly initiated and promoted by the United States, was perceived in the Russian Federation as an encroachment on its “legitimate” sphere of interests, hence contributing to the Kremlin’s turn to aggressive revisionism. However, the assertion that the United States should “recognize reality” and return to a policy of balance of power is overly focused on the geopolitical games of the so-called “great po- wers,” where other states, including Ukraine, are only objects whose interests are irrelevant. In any case, the question of NATO enlargement is not a defining issue, but merely a symptom of the underlying problems of the post-bipolar – or rather transitional – world order, whose transformation is a matter of time.
References
Sydoruk, T. V., Pavliuk, V. V. Rozshyrennia NATO yak falshyvyi pryvid dlia vy- pravdannia viiny rosii proty Ukrainy. Natsionalnyi instytut stratehichnykh doslidzhen. URL: http://niss.gov.ua/news/statti/rozshyrennya-nato-yak-falshyvyy-pryvid-dlya-vyprav- dannya-viyny-rosiyi-proty-ukrayiny (accessed: 29.08.2023) (in Ukrainian).
Stetsiuk M. (2022). NATO v postbipoliarnomu sviti: rudyment chy neobkhidnist? Mediaforum, 11, 320–327. https://doi.org/10.31861/mediaforum.2022.11.320-327 (in Ukrainian)
Carpenter, T. G. (2019). NATO: The dangerous dinosaur. Washington, D.C.: Cato Institute.
Chotiner, I. (2022). Why John Mearsheimer Blames the U.S. for the Crisis in Ukraine. The New Yorker. URL: https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/why-john-mearsheimer- blames-the-us-for-the-crisis-in-ukraine.
Hooft, P. (2020). van Land rush: American grand strategy, NATO enlargement, and European fragmentation. International Politics, vol. 57, No. 3, pp. 530–553. https://doi. org/10.1057/S41311-020-00227-7.
Marten K. (2020). NATO enlargement: evaluating its consequences in Russia. Inter- national Politics, vol. 57, No. 3, pp. 401–426. https://doi.org/10.1057/S41311-020-00233-9.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2013). Structural realism. International Relations Theories: Discipline and Diversity / edited by T. Dunne, M. Kurki, S. Smith. Oxford University Press, pp. 77–91.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2019). Bound to fail: the rise and fall of the liberal international or- der. International Security, vol. 43, No. 4, pp. 7–50. https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC_a_00342.
Menon, R., Ruger, W. (2020). NATO enlargement and US grand strategy: a net assessment. International Politics, vol. 57, No. 3, pp. 371–400. https://doi.org/10.1057/ s41311-020-00235-7.
Moisio, S. (2022). Geopolitics of explaining Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the challenge of small states. Political Geography, vol. 97, 102683. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. polgeo.2022.102683.
Muradov, I. (2017). The impact of NATO enlargement on Ukraine crisis: neorealist perspective. Epistemological Studies in Philosophy, Social and Political Sciences, vol. 1, No. 1–2, pp. 107–114. https://doi.org/10.15421/341811.
Olsen, J. A. (2020). Understanding NATO. RUSI Journal, vol. 165, No. 3, pp. 60– 72. https://doi.org/10.1080/03071847.2020.1777772.
Sayle, T. A. (2019). Enduring Alliance: A History of NATO and the Postwar Global Order. Cornell University Press, 360 p.
Tsygankov, A. P. (2018). The sources of Russia’s fear of NATO. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, vol. 51, No. 2, pp. 101–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.postcom- stud.2018.04.002.
Waltz, K. N. (2000). Structural Realism after the Cold War. International Security,
vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 5–41. https://doi.org/10.1162/016228800560372.
London Declaration issued by NATO Heads of State and Government. URL: https:// www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_171584.htm (accessed: 03.08.2023).
John Mearsheimer on why the West is principally responsible for the Ukrainian crisis. The Economist, 2022. https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2022/03/11/john- mearsheimer-on-why-the-west-is-principally-responsible-for-the-ukrainian-crisis.