RUSSIA’S WAR IN UKRAINE AND THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN SECURITY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29038/2524-2679-2024-01-205-222Keywords:
Russo-Ukrainian war, EU, NATO, European security, USA, world order, Euro-Atlantic integrationAbstract
The paper contains the analysis of the existing approaches to the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war on European security and the scenarios of further involve- ment of Ukraine’s partners from both sides of the Atlantic in its defense. The most significant consequences of the war for the European security environment are considered. Particular attention is paid to the following issues, which remain debatable: approaches to how Ukraine can win; factors that hinder larger and faster military aid from the West to Kyiv; threats stemming from an incomplete understanding by some Western leaders of Moscow’s true goals; ways in which the EU and NATO can support Ukraine not only on the battlefield, but also by integrating it into their institutions. The study is based on a critical analysis of papers on this subject in authoritative professional publications on internation- al relations, statistical data on the aid from the states of the collective West to Kyiv, and the results of public opinion polls on the continuation of support for Ukraine’s struggle in European states and the USA.
The West is facing a critical choice: to support Ukraine so that it can defend its territory and rebuild its forces for offensive operations, recapture the occupied lands and exhaust the aggressor to the point of imposing a lasting peace, or to give in to a Russia, which believes it can survive the will of the West. The former is desirable not only for Ukrainians. For Europe, Ukraine’s success or failure in this struggle will determine the security of the entire continent. For the United States, it will shape the future of the world order which it leads. Developing and following a consistent and realistic strategy for the victory of Ukraine will re- quire greater and faster US and European military aid, investment by European countries in their defense industrial potential, strengthening of sanctions against Russia and better enforcement thereof, opening the way for Ukraine to join the EU and NATO. It will benefit all Europeans by restoring and expanding the area of peace, prosperity and stability on the continent.
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