Brexit and prospects for the formation of European political consciousness in Ukraine

Abstract

In the article scenarios of the further development of the EU are analyzed. in particular, “We are going the same way», which should solve big problems, in particular, the formation of the internal market, the digital single market, the energy union, the capital market and the defense alliance; “Single market - first of all”, which provides for the promotion of innovation, cooperation in the areas of security, defense and migration; “Who wants more - does more”, which means that all member states should move at the same pace; “Less is better” (“Europe of different speeds”), which focuses on the implementation of certain political spheres, but reduces the level of interaction in matters that do not bring progress; “Doing more and more together”, according to which the member states transfer more power, resources and powers in decision-making to a particular body. Here the main scenarios of Brexit itself are also described: “hard” Brexit, “hard” Brexit without signing an agreement, “Refusal from Brexit”, “Late Brexit”, “English Brexit”, “Soft” Brexit. The author's forecasts on the formation of European political consciousness are analyzed in the article. Analyzing the European political consciousness, the author outlines four main prospects for its development: positive inside (the assimilation of European culture by our citizens, the mastery of a common European history, acquaintance with the EU governance system and the building of Europe in Ukraine), externally positive (the formation of a European political consciousness based on parity national and European identity for external preservation of the mental signs of the “European»), neutral (due to the preservation of a peculiar status when Ukraine remains in the current state of uncertainty, underdevelopment of the economy, politics and socio-cultural sphere, when both national and European identity is weakly formed) and negative (foresees the deterioration of relations between Ukraine and the EU, the freezing of the dialogue on the Association Agreement and the European integration process in Ukraine in conditions of deepening the crisis of the EU). It is noted that, depending on the scenario for the further development of the EU and Brexit, various consequences are possible for the development and dynamics of European political consciousness on the European continent in general and in Ukraine in particular.